Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001137 1.289120e-03 0.001443 0.001609 0.001783 0.001960 0.002152
2025-05-25 0.000898 1.114178e-03 0.001341 0.001594 0.001866 0.002148 0.002461
2025-06-01 0.000680 9.362543e-04 0.001216 0.001536 0.001890 0.002264 0.002686
2025-06-08 0.000532 8.181304e-04 0.001142 0.001525 0.001956 0.002420 0.002950
2025-06-15 0.000452 7.683347e-04 0.001139 0.001587 0.002099 0.002656 0.003298
2025-06-22 0.000340 6.651040e-04 0.001064 0.001559 0.002136 0.002772 0.003513
2025-06-29 0.000266 6.006812e-04 0.001029 0.001572 0.002216 0.002932 0.003773
2025-07-06 0.000243 6.009933e-04 0.001071 0.001677 0.002399 0.003208 0.004162
2025-07-13 0.000174 5.249519e-04 0.001011 0.001652 0.002429 0.003308 0.004350
2025-07-20 0.000108 4.376076e-04 0.000927 0.001594 0.002415 0.003354 0.004476
2025-07-27 0.000082 4.125318e-04 0.000925 0.001635 0.002518 0.003533 0.004750
2025-08-03 0.000049 3.626792e-04 0.000884 0.001624 0.002555 0.003633 0.004934
2025-08-10 0.000008 2.648682e-04 0.000777 0.001540 0.002525 0.003682 0.005091
2025-08-17 NaN 2.026980e-04 0.000714 0.001513 0.002565 0.003814 0.005346
2025-08-24 NaN 1.356031e-04 0.000629 0.001449 0.002555 0.003887 0.005534
2025-08-31 NaN 9.528126e-05 0.000581 0.001433 0.002605 0.004030 0.005803
2025-09-07 NaN 8.131472e-05 0.000583 0.001489 0.002748 0.004286 0.006205
2025-09-14 NaN 4.878999e-05 0.000530 0.001460 0.002778 0.004402 0.006442
2025-09-21 NaN 3.141890e-05 0.000506 0.001471 0.002859 0.004581 0.006752
2025-09-28 NaN 3.226723e-05 0.000539 0.001571 0.003059 0.004906 0.007233
2025-10-05 NaN 1.426871e-05 0.000495 0.001547 0.003090 0.005020 0.007465
2025-10-12 NaN 1.439752e-06 0.000434 0.001490 0.003074 0.005076 0.007625
2025-10-19 NaN 6.326946e-08 0.000432 0.001530 0.003189 0.005293 0.007977